Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 January 2024, Thursday


	Córdoba		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.7	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.51	4.71
	1.76	3.51	4.71
	1.62	3.4	4.33
	1.76	3.54	4.44
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	4.47 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba
53.3%

Draw
26.2%

Real Madrid Castilla
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Córdoba will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marin C. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Ruiz A. 18. Garcia C. 2. Rodriguez I. 22. Diarra Y. 15. Ruiz I. 23. Carracedo C. 7. Kike 17. Adilson 20. Casas A.	1. Canizares L. (G) 2. Tobias V. 15. Pujol E. 16. Asencio R. 3. Obrador R. 20. Angel M. 6. Martin M. 8. Zidane T. 22. Palacios C. 17. Garcia G. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
10. Bouzaidi S. 30. Calero C. 28. Fernandez P. 29. Jimenez O. 14. Recio 1. Tarres L. (G) 19. Toril A. 26. Vazquez A. 9. Zalazar K.	29. Aparicio E. 28. Campos A. 24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 11. Gonzalez P. 19. Lorenzo 23. Munoz V. 33. Ribes E. 27. Ruiz D.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 1.

Córdoba in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Córdoba is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Córdoba to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Melilla - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Córdoba - Antequera	3:0 ✺
22.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWWW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	3:3 ✺
09.12.23	Granada B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Alcoyano - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.02.23	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2
09.10.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.14	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
21.12.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	3:1
Club Friendly
03.08.13	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	4:0
20.10.12	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0

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