Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Madriz		Diriangén

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.36
	6.1	4.35	1.4	Watch
	8.18	4.84	1.2
	7.5	4.25	1.43	Watch
	7	4.2	1.36
	6.78	5.41	1.37	Watch
	6.33	4.33	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↓ (8.45)	4.55 ↓ (4.8)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madriz
13%

Draw
20%

Diriangén
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

19.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

18.5%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madriz - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Pemberton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Diriangén is Qualified for Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 0.

Recent form of Real Madriz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Diriangén has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Diriangén has had a series of home games.

In this match, Diriangén is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:54. (average 0.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Managua - Real Madriz	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Real Madriz - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Diriangén - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Diriangén - Walter Ferretti	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.09.25	Diriangén - Real Madriz	7:0
13.04.22	Real Madriz - Diriangén	2:2
02.03.22	Diriangén - Real Madriz	3:0
03.11.21	Diriangén - Real Madriz	4:0
01.09.21	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1
13.03.21	Real Madriz - Diriangén	1:2
27.01.21	Diriangén - Real Madriz	4:0

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