The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diriangén 60.6%
Draw 22.9%
Walter Ferretti 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
23.2%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
21.3%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diriangén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Walter Ferretti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Diriangén - Walter Ferretti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 4.
Diriangén arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Walter Ferretti is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Diriangén could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Diriangén has faced a series of away games on the road.
Diriangén carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Diriangén in today's match, at odds of 1.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Diriangén has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Diriangén against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.8 per game).