The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diriangén 59.8%
Draw 22.1%
Walter Ferretti 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.9%
23.2%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
21.3%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diriangén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Diriangén - Walter Ferretti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟥,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 4.
Diriangén has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Walter Ferretti has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Diriangén has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Diriangén is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Diriangén in today's match, at odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Diriangén has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Diriangén against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.8 per game).