Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Nicaragua	NicaSports
World	FIFA+


	Managua		Real Madriz

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	12
	1.13	6.5	13.5	Watch
	1.15	6.62	12.47
	1.16	7.19	14.22	Watch
	1.14	6.5	17
	1.13	7.95	19.5	Watch
	1.12	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.16)	6.82 ↓ (7.11)	14.81 ↓ (15.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Managua
80.3%

Draw
13.5%

Real Madriz
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.6%

13.2%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Real Madriz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Managua - Real Madriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 4.

Managua has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Managua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Managua is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Managua won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:14. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Managua FC	10	8	2	0	33:10	23	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.02.26	Rancho Santana - Managua	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Municipal Jalapa - Managua	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Diriangén - Managua	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Managua - Diriangén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.01.26	Real Madriz - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Madriz	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.10.25	Managua - Real Madriz	2:0
02.08.25	Real Madriz - Managua	0:1
27.04.22	Managua - Real Madriz	3:0
06.03.22	Real Madriz - Managua	1:0
17.11.21	Real Madriz - Managua	1:3
19.09.21	Managua - Real Madriz	1:1
09.05.21	Managua - Real Madriz	1:0

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