Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Diriangén		Matagalpa

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5
	1.42	4.35	5.7	Watch
	1.39	4.83	6.13
	1.44	4.62	6.35	Watch
	1.4	4.33	5.5
	1.45	4.82	6.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	4.51 ↓ (4.9)	5.79 ↓ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diriangén
63.9%

Draw
20.3%

Matagalpa
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.1%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diriangén's form might have worsened.

Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diriangén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Diriangén - Matagalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Pemberton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Moncada J. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Galvaliz M. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Gomez N. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 3.

Diriangén is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Matagalpa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Matagalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diriangén is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Diriangén will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:18. (average 2.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Diriangén won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:7. (average 2.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26
7	Matagalpa	9	3	0	6	4:16	-12	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Managua - Diriangén	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Diriangén - Real Madriz	5:0 ✺
16.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW
- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Managua - Matagalpa	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	4:0 ✺
15.04.26	Matagalpa - Managua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:1
08.04.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	2:3
07.02.26	Diriangén - Matagalpa	1:1
22.10.25	Diriangén - Matagalpa	2:2
09.08.25	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:2
04.05.25	Diriangén - Matagalpa	2:0
02.03.25	Diriangén - Matagalpa	3:1

Upcoming Matches