The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 42.5%
Draw 24%
Minnesota United 2 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
24.5%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
23.4%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers 2's performance.
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 53. Ferguson C. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 73. Izoita E. 39. Griffith C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 77. Barjolo B. 47. Cervantes D.
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 35. Tarnue P. 31. Dang N. 59. Farris J. 90. Pechota L. 50. Harwood M. 92. Kabia A. 95. Vigilante S. 14. Michel K. 22. Caldeira M. 17. Randell D.
Substitutes
66. Cruthers C. 98. Deisenhofer M. (G) 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 63. Nunez D. 37. Santos N.
61. Bernard J. 75. Cruz H. 45. Dennis T. 36. Friedman J. 51. Grulke C. 49. Ortwein E. 32. Putt T. 54. Witte A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Barjolo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Griffith C. ⚽,
58', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
58', Barjolo B. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Cervantes D. ⚽,
62', Harwood M. ↓, Friedman J. ↑,
63', Michel K. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
69', Izoita E. 🟨,
71', Ferguson C. 🟨,
73', Cervantes D. ↓, Cruthers C. ↑,
73', Griffith C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Vigilante S. ⚽, Friedman J. (A),
81', Ferguson C. ↓, Mueller H. ↑,
85', Pechota L. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Minnesota 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 2.1:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 2.8:2.8).