Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Rio Grande Valley		Real Monarchs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.4	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.2	6.2
	1.39	4.62	7.89
	1.41	4.35	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	4.39 ↑ (3.73)	6.84 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
65.8%

Draw
20.8%

Real Monarchs
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

20.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Grande Valley's performance.

Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Rio Grande Valley - Real Monarchs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 6 (61.46%), has project points - 42, has currently - 34, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (99.99%), has project points - 23, has currently - 17, has not chance of playoffs.

Recent matches Rio Grande Valley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Monarchs has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rio Grande Valley is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
29.09.21	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Rio Grande Valley - Atlanta United II	3:2 ✺
18.09.21	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Rio Grande Valley - Loudoun United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTT
- Real Monarchs SLC
USL Championship
29.09.21	El Paso Locomotive - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Real Monarchs - New York Red Bulls 2	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	New Mexico United - Real Monarchs	2:1 ✺
15.09.21	Hartford Athletic - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Real Monarchs - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
04.08.21	Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley	0:3
12.06.21	Rio Grande Valley - Real Monarchs	1:0
21.09.19	Rio Grande Valley - Real Monarchs	3:1
08.06.19	Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley	5:3
08.09.18	Rio Grande Valley - Real Monarchs	2:1
04.06.18	Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley	2:0
25.08.17	Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley	2:1

Rio Grande Valley - Real Monarchs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide