The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 43.5%
Draw 27.3%
Rio Grande Valley 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
25.8%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
23.5%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Predictions
Users Predictions:
New Mexico United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (G) 33. Swartz H. 4. Hamilton S. (C) 22. Ryden K. 3. Yearwood A. 43. Portillo J. J. 11. Moar S. 7. Rivas S. 17. Hurst G. 72. Waggoner A. 25. Bruce D.
21. Merancio C. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. 6. Benitez G. 8. Davila T. 17. Cerro I. 16. Coronado R. 23. Francois C. 9. Lopez F. 13. Cabrera W.
Substitutes
9. Dolling J. 2. Garvanian M. 10. Moreno A. 12. Parker F. D. (G) 16. Seymore W. 19. Sosa J. 5. Suggs J.
1. Deric T. (G) 5. Galindrez J. 18. Herrera D. 19. Kinzner E. 10. Pinzon C. 2. Ricketts J. 20. Ritondale T.
Coaches
Quill E.
Cabrera W.
Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, small importance22, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
Watch
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Tambakis A. (G) 
Swartz H. 
Moar S. 
Hurst G. 
Bruce D. 
Merancio C. (G) 
Nodarse F. 
Ackwei W. 
Benitez G. 
Francois C. 
Moreno A. 
Galindrez J. 
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