Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.3	3.15	2.95
	2.5	3.13	2.78
	2.41	3.18	2.8
	2.37	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.97)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	2.81 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
38.3%

Draw
29.1%

New Mexico United
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Grande Valley's form might have worsened.

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (24.93%), project points - 37, currently - 7, a chance of playoffs (29%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (4%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 21, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2.

Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Rio Grande Valley have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
29.04.23	Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Rio Grande Valley - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
05.04.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Detroit City - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLW
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
29.04.23	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	4:2 ✺
US Open Cup
04.04.23	New Mexico United - UDA Soccer	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
10.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	3:1
09.07.22	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	1:1
06.07.22	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	1:0
23.10.21	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	2:0
09.10.21	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	1:1
29.09.21	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:0
01.05.21	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	1:0

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