Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 2

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Murcia		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.52	3.65	6.3
	1.52	3.73	7.17
	1.13	7.50	17.75	Watch
	1.53	3.62	6.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.27 ↑ (3.58)	8.25 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
65.9%

Draw
22.5%

Juventud de Torremolinos
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

25.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Real Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Romero C. 20. Zenitagoia E. 22. Juan Carlos 10. Gomez I. 11. Bustos A. 9. Benito P. A. P. 23. Bosilj D.	13. Palomo F. (G) 2. Edu Lopez 4. Merida Palomino J. 5. Dani 16. Diaz S. 6. Climent A. 8. Penarroya C. 7. Camacho A. 21. Christian 14. Polo C. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
31. Djanbou S. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Sarabia A. 8. Schalk A. 28. Seyran M.	12. Ajegun Perez R. 24. Alonso J. 25. Diao U. 17. Escardo A. 18. Fernandez A. 1. Fran Martinez (G) 10. Gallego Cea F. 15. Hernandez J. 23. Lesedi S. A. 3. Martinez H. 19. Opara L. 22. Roldan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Climent A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Bosilj D. (Pen),
16', Edu Lopez 🟨,
45+12', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Edu Lopez ↓, Diao U. ↑,
46', Climent A. ↓, Gallego Cea F. ↑,
52', Juan Carlos ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
60', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Djanbou S. ↑,
60', Gomez I. ↓, Schalk A. ↑,
78', Bustos A. ↓, Sarabia A. ↑,
78', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Murcia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torremolinos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torremolinos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murcia is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.25	Marbella - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Real Murcia - Melilla	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Real Murcia - Eldense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTW
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.08.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.25	Xerez CD - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Al-Sadd	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Al-Jazira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLT

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