Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.6	3	6.5
	1.55	3.3	6.2
	1.61	3.66	5.88
	1.61	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.6)	3.33 ↑ (2.97)	5.92 ↓ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
57.1%

Draw
27.5%

Pulpileño
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

30.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

18.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pulpileño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.10.21	Socuéllamos - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Real Murcia - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.10.21	Real Murcia - Alzira	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Real Murcia - Intercity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLW
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.10.21	Pulpileño - Hércules	0:4 ✺
03.10.21	Eldense - Pulpileño	0:3 ✺
26.09.21	Pulpileño - La Nucía	1:4 ✺
19.09.21	El Ejido - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Pulpileño - Levante B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLWW

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