Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Real Murcia		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.95
	2.4	2.88	2.95
	2.5	2.7	2.9
	2.67	2.76	3.21
	2.58	2.83	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.82)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)	3 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
36.7%

Draw
32.7%

UCAM Murcia
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

23.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCAM Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Second stage) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.12.20	Real Murcia - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
25.11.20	Betis B - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Real Murcia - Linares Deportivo	3:0 ✺
15.11.20	Real Murcia - Granada B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.12.20	Yeclano Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
29.11.20	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Betis B - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
18.11.20	Llagostera - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.11.20	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.20	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	3:1
06.10.19	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	0:0
13.04.19	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	0:1
25.11.18	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	2:1
04.02.18	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:1
16.09.17	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	1:2
Club Friendly
07.02.17	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:0

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