Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Real Normanna		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.32
	2.7	3.11	2.5
	2.65	3.05	2.45
	2.71	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Normanna
33.3%

Draw
29.4%

Virtus Francavilla
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Normanna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Normanna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Real Normanna - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

In recent matches, Real Normanna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Normanna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	6	5	0	1	12:8	4	15
8	Real Normanna	6	3	1	2	10:10	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Real Normanna
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Nardo - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Real Normanna - Acerrana	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nola - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Normanna - Heraclea	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Normanna - Gravina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Virtus Francavilla - Ferrandina	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Martina Calcio - Virtus Francavilla	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Francavilla - Manfredonia	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Barletta - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Real Normanna	2:1

Real Normanna - Virtus Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide