Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Barletta		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.2
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.01	3.16	3.59	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	2	3.08	3.62
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.35)	3.58 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barletta
45.7%

Draw
29%

Virtus Francavilla
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barletta - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent performances by Barletta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Francavilla is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Barletta is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barletta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	6	5	0	1	12:8	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Barletta - Nardo	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Acerrana - Barletta	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Barletta - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Virtus Francavilla - Pompei	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Francavilla - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Barletta	2:2

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