Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Amorebieta		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.2
	3.6	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.85	2.95	2.33
	3.85	2.95	2.33
	3.6	3.04	2.2	Watch
	3.45	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.01)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
26.1%

Draw
31.9%

Real Oviedo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

33.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oviedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Oviedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Amorebieta - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 24. Gaya J. 3. Etxeita X. (C) 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 20. Sibo K. 21. Carbonell A. 17. Rodriguez R. 9. Jauregi E. 29. Da Graca C. M.	31. Roman L. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 23. Bretones A. 7. Viti 5. Luismi 11. Colombatto S. 17. Moyano F. 16. Seoane J. 9. Baston B. (C)
Substitutes
19. Aviles J. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 28. Garreta F. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 4. Manu 1. Marino U. (G) 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I.	14. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 10. Camarasa V. 32. Cardero A. 8. Cazorla S. 33. Collante A. 6. Jimmy Suarez 20. Masca 21. Pomares C. 28. Sese M.
Coaches
Mujika H.	Carrion L.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Amorebieta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oviedo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oviedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.23	Leganés - Amorebieta	6:0 ✺
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
13.10.23	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Real Oviedo - Huesca	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:3 ✺
24.09.23	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.22	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	1:1
20.11.21	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.09.14	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	4:0

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