Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Real Oviedo		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.9	Watch
	1.71	3.66	5.54
	1.71	3.58	5.36	Watch
	1.69	3.56	5.45	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	5.23 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
55.2%

Draw
26.9%

Albacete Balompié
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J. 11. Colombatto S. 17. de la Hoz C. 27. Cardero A. 9. Alemao 16. Chaira I.	13. Lizoain R. (G) 4. Agus Medina 14. Garcia H. J. 27. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Alcedo J. 21. Saenz P. 8. Rodriguez R. 20. Pacheco A. 22. Morcillo J. 11. Lazo J. 9. Marin H.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 23. Hassan H. 15. Luengo O. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 10. Portillo F. 6. Sibo K.	24. Costa J. 7. Garcia J. 19. Javier Marton 40. Jota J. 35. Kofane C. M. 5. Moreno J. 6. Rai 1. Rivero C. (G) 2. Rodriguez Perez A. 15. Touaizi N. 18. Villar J.
Coaches
Calleja J.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Vidal N. ⚽, Chaira I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lazo J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
56', Seoane J. ↓, Sibo K. ↑,
56', Cardero A. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
71', Marin H. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
71', Pacheco A. ↓, Rodriguez Perez A. ↑,
79', Colombatto S. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
79', Pomares C. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
81', Morcillo J. ↓, Touaizi N. ↑,
81', Saenz P. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
89', Chaira I. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
90', Vidal N. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.

Oviedo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Albacete is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albacete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Injury) Chukwuma E. (Injury) Lemos A. (Injury) Vinas F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Costa J. (Leg Injury) Fidel (Injury) Melendez A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pepe (Injury) Rueda J. (Yellow Cards)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
10.02.25	Real Oviedo - Eldense	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Real Oviedo - Castellón	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.25	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Albacete Balompié - Almería	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	2:2
09.03.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:2
13.10.23	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	3:0
26.02.23	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	1:1
15.10.22	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:0
30.01.21	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	0:1
03.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:1

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