Match Info

LaLiga - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	17:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.48	Watch
	3.03	3.05	2.62
	2.94	2.99	2.65	Watch
	3.26	3.17	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.94)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
31%

Draw
31%

Osasuna
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Real Oviedo - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 15 - 31.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 18 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 23.8% – 51.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.79) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 5. Reina A. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 9. Vinas F. 23. Rondon S. 7. Chaira I.	1. Herrera S. (C) 7. Moncayola J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 23. Bretones A. 21. Munoz V. 16. Gomez M. 6. Torro L. 14. Garcia R. 9. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. 17. Domingues B. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 6. Sibo K.	41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 5. Herrando J. 8. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 29. Osambela A. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)
Coaches
Carrion L.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Torro L. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
25', Catena A. 🟨,
38', Colombatto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Vidal N. 🟨,
64', Carmo D. 🟨,
70', Chaira I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
70', Garcia R. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
82', Reina A. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
82', Vinas F. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
85', Budimir A. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
85', Gomez M. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
86', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2.

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Osasuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Oviedo: Brekalo J. (Groin Injury) Cazorla S. (Ankle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Osasuna - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTLLW
- Osasuna
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Sant Jordi - Osasuna	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Osasuna - Getafe	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Betis - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.06.19	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	1:0
20.10.18	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	2:1
12.05.18	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	2:1
10.12.17	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	1:0
04.06.16	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:5
16.01.16	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	0:0

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