Match Info

LaLiga - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Armenia	Fast Sports
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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
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Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.48	Watch
	3.03	3.05	2.62
	2.94	2.99	2.65	Watch
	3.26	3.17	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.94)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
31%

Draw
31%

Osasuna
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Real Oviedo - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 15 - 31.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 18 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 23.8% – 51.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.79) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 5. Reina A. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 9. Vinas F. 23. Rondon S. 7. Chaira I.	1. Herrera S. (C) 7. Moncayola J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 23. Bretones A. 21. Munoz V. 16. Gomez M. 6. Torro L. 14. Garcia R. 9. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. 17. Domingues B. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 6. Sibo K.	41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 5. Herrando J. 8. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 29. Osambela A. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)
Coaches
Carrion L.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Torro L. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
25', Catena A. 🟨,
38', Colombatto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Vidal N. 🟨,
64', Carmo D. 🟨,
70', Chaira I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
70', Garcia R. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
82', Reina A. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
82', Vinas F. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
85', Budimir A. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
85', Gomez M. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
86', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2.

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Osasuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Oviedo: Brekalo J. (Groin Injury) Cazorla S. (Ankle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Osasuna - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTLLW
- Osasuna
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Sant Jordi - Osasuna	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Osasuna - Getafe	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Betis - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.06.19	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	1:0
20.10.18	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	2:1
12.05.18	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	2:1
10.12.17	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	1:0
04.06.16	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:5
16.01.16	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	0:0

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