Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Ourense CF		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.71	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.75
	4.44	3.45	1.79	Watch
	4.32	3.78	1.74	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.56)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
21.1%

Draw
25.5%

Real Oviedo
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.6%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.5%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Ourense CF - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. (C) 14. Perez A. 3. Sanz H. 11. Aranzabe A. 8. Ramos J. 16. Munoz D. 10. Camus M. 7. Bouzaig A. 23. Punzano I.	1. Moldovan H. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 12. Calvo D. (C) 2. Bailly E. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 21. Ilic L. 5. Reina A. 10. Hassan H. 19. Fores A. 18. Brekalo J.
Substitutes
6. Castillo N. 2. Coto E. 27. Dominguez I. 19. Garcia D. 21. Guerrero A. 20. Gueye L. 12. Jelbat A. 17. Ouhdadi O. 15. Piera J. 9. Vazquez K.	27. Agudin P. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 4. Costas D. 20. Dendoncker L. 17. Domingues B. 13. Escandell A. (G) 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 32. Menendez D. 9. Vinas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Brekalo J. (Pen),
27', Punzano I. ↓, Ouhdadi O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Ilic L. ⚽, Fores A. (A),
62', Perez A. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
62', Camus M. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
64', Ilic L. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
64', Alhassane R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
75', Aranzabe A. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
75', Munoz D. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
81', Hassan H. ↓, Domingues B. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Jelbat A. ⚽,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
98', 3 - 2, Ouhdadi O. ⚽, Bouzaig A. (A),
114', 4 - 2, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
120+3', Guerrero A. (Pen),

Preview

Ourense CF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.

In this match, Oviedo is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF	3:4 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ferrol - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Real Oviedo - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLWL

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