Match Info

Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America


	Real Pilar		Acassuso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	2.92	4.75
	1.94	2.82	4.65
	1.91	2.83	4.63	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4.4
	1.91	2.83	4.51
	1.88	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)	4.57 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
47.8%

Draw
32.3%

Acassuso
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Real Pilar - Acassuso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Pilar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Acassuso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cano M. (G) 4. Leguiza D. 2. Otermin A. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Franco E. 8. Govi G. 5. Rios N. 10. Chambi L. 11. Crocco M. 7. Gomez M. 9. Moran J.	1. Tursi F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Pioli L. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. 5. De Stefano D. 10. Hermoso A. 11. Senn F. 7. Rey L. 9. Escalante D.
Substitutes
15. Barreiro A. 13. Fantino L. 17. Martin B. 14. Monge L. 20. Ochoa J. 18. Riquelme M. D. 19. Risso B. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 16. Vergara D.	12. Dominguez J. (G) 14. Dordoni B. 19. Gomez Y. 20. Habib T. 18. Mino B. 16. Raccio J. 15. Robles E. 17. Scacchi S. 13. Serrizuela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Crocco M. ⚽,
61', Rey L. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
65', De Stefano D. 🟨,
69', Senn F. ↓, Mino B. ↑,
69', Dubini K. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
70', Moran J. ↓, Riquelme M. D. ↑,
70', Leguiza D. ↓, Monge L. ↑,
75', Mino B. 🟨,
77', Chambi L. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
77', Crocco M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
81', Gomez M. ↓, Barreiro A. ↑,
84', Ponce J. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Escalante D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Real Pilar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
06.12.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Pilar - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWTLW
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
06.12.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Acassuso - Villa Dálmine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
06.12.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	0:0
08.08.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	1:0
22.03.25	Real Pilar - Acassuso	2:0

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