Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 21

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vargas Carreno G. A. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	15:00	Entel Gol 56


	Real Potosí		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.60	2.57	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.60
	2.30	3.30	2.55	Watch
	2.26	3.55	2.78
	2.5	3.7	2.54	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.70
	2.40	3.63	2.65	Watch
	2.30	3.55	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)	3.52 ↓ (3.64)	2.62 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Potosí
39.3%

Draw
25.9%

The Strongest
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.7%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Real Potosí - The Strongest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 22. Supayabe F. 4. Villegas K. 44. Severiche S. 35. Vedia C. 77. Rojas J. 8. Cardenas I. 90. Gimenez L. 11. Gomez M. (C) 18. Rivas J.	1. Banegas L. (G) 27. Saavedra 4. Chiatti M. 5. Jusino A. (C) 3. Pedraza P. 21. Quaglio F. 17. Estacio A. 30. Arrascaita J. 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 9. Ventura C. 26. Sotomayor G.
Substitutes
23. Ali L. 30. Alipaz J. 3. Anasgo G. 10. Castellon V. 12. Condori B. 17. Cuellar D. 41. Igor Soares 91. Plaza S. 25. Sandy D. (G) 7. Suarez F. 31. Terrazas R. 14. Velasquez E.	24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 15. Arce S. 10. Castro R. 16. Cuellar V. 40. Cueto L. 38. Lazaro J. 34. Melgar S. 99. Pachu 36. Ribera R. 22. Saucedo W. 12. Valdivia D. (G) 6. Welch J.
Coaches
Umana G.	Zago A. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gimenez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gimenez L. ↓, Anasgo G. ↑,
48', Saavedra 🟨,
61', Arrascaita J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Rojas J. 🟨,
62', Gomez M. ↓, Igor Soares ↑,
74', Rivas J. ↓, Ali L. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽,
83', Ventura C. ↓, Pachu ↑,
88', Rojas J. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
88', Chiatti M. 🟨,
89', Jusino A. ↓, Saucedo W. ↑,
90', Saavedra ↓, Ribera R. ↑,
90+4', Plaza S. 🟨,
90+6', Salvatierra Flores K. F. 🟥,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Potosí won 0.

Real Potosí has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The Strongest has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Potosí has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:60 (averaging 0.9:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Potosí against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 9:25 goals (averaging 1:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42:26	16	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30:16	14	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Potosí
Bolivian Copa Pacena
06.10.26	Real Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:2 ✺
02.10.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	1:1 ✺
29.09.26	Real Potosí - ABB	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Potosí	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW
- The Strongest
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	5:2 ✺
30.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.05.26	The Strongest - Real Potosí	0:0
23.10.21	The Strongest - Real Potosí	1:0
10.07.21	Real Potosí - The Strongest	1:3
06.12.20	Real Potosí - The Strongest	3:5
29.01.20	The Strongest - Real Potosí	3:2
22.12.19	Real Potosí - The Strongest	1:3
14.09.19	The Strongest - Real Potosí	6:2

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