The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oriente Petrolero 47.3%
Draw 25.4%
The Strongest 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
25.9%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.
The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Strongest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Strongest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). The Strongest will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 76.1% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 6. Rodriguez D. 20. Lovera J. (C) 11. Vaca L. 77. Herrera J. 42. Roca D. 91. Nacif N. 90. Pena A.
12. Valdivia D. (G) 27. Saavedra 4. Chiatti M. 3. Pedraza P. 21. Quaglio F. 15. Arce S. 16. Cuellar V. 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 30. Arrascaita J. (C) 9. Ventura C. 99. Pachu
Substitutes
51. Alba A. 21. Aponte M. 4. Bonilla M. 17. Galindo S. 41. Guzman J. 10. Mamani M. 40. Perdomo O. 19. Perez F. 33. Saucedo C. 8. Siles O. 14. Taborga E. 28. Velasco J.
24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 35. Buezo G. 10. Castro R. 17. Estacio A. 5. Jusino A. 34. Melgar S. 33. Mendoza K. (G) 36. Ribera R. 19. Roca C. 22. Saucedo W. 26. Sotomayor G. 6. Welch J.
Coaches
Florentin G.
Zago A. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Cuellar V. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Ventura C. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
37', Velasco M. ↓, Velasco J. ↑,
39', Arce S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Nacif N. ⚽, Lovera J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arce S. ↓, Jusino A. ↑,
46', Cuellar V. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
65', Pena A. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
65', Mamani M. 🟨,
65', Herrera J. ↓, Perdomo O. ↑,
66', Pachu ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
69', Perdomo O. 🟨,
76', Vaca L. 🟨,
77', Rodriguez D. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
77', Ventura C. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
85', Quaglio F. ↓, Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.
Oriente Petrolero has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The Strongest is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Oriente Petrolero may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Oriente Petrolero is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oriente Petrolero has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:44 (averaging 1.1:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oriente Petrolero against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
The Strongest - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 
Mizael Monteiro 
Lopez F. 
Chiatti M. 
Ventura C. 
Estacio A. 
Welch J. 
Florentin G. 
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