Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 23

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vera R. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	19:30	Entel Gol 56


	Oriente Petrolero		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.86	4	3.2	Watch
	1.93	3.60	3.10
	1.9	3.6	3.35	Watch
	1.95	3.65	3.77
	1.86	4.11	3.53	Watch
	1.81	3.75	3.45
	1.81	3.76	3.48	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.08)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)	3.4 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
48.8%

Draw
24.3%

The Strongest
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Strongest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Oriente Petrolero (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bernal J. (G) 23. Rojas J. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 42. Roca D. 20. Lovera J. (C) 11. Vaca L. 28. Velasco J. 8. Siles O. 7. Flores J. 91. Nacif N.	1. Banegas L. (G) 17. Estacio A. 4. Chiatti M. 5. Jusino A. (C) 3. Pedraza P. 21. Quaglio F. 30. Arrascaita J. 26. Sotomayor G. 6. Welch J. 27. Saavedra 9. Ventura C.
Substitutes
51. Alba A. (G) 21. Aponte M. 4. Bonilla M. 29. Escobar J. 31. Justiniano G. 19. Perez F. 6. Rodriguez D. 79. Roldan N. 33. Saucedo C. 27. Sosa Loppacher F. 14. Taborga E. 35. Vaca J.	24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 10. Castro R. 16. Cuellar V. 40. Cueto L. 14. Lom D. 34. Melgar S. 99. Pachu 29. Portuncho Y. 36. Ribera R. 7. Romay K. 22. Saucedo W. 12. Valdivia D. (G)
Coaches
Florentin G.	Zago A. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Chiatti M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Nacif N. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Jusino A. 🟨,
42', Velasco J. 🟨,
45+3', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ventura C. ↓, Lom D. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Sotomayor G. ⚽, Arrascaita J. (A),
57', Lovera J. 🟨,
62', Flores J. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Nacif N. ⚽, Escobar J. (A),
66', Escobar J. 🟨,
71', Saavedra ↓, Cueto L. ↑,
75', Rojas J. ↓, Vaca J. ↑,
76', Vaca J. 🟨,
81', Sotomayor G. ↓, Saucedo W. ↑,
81', Arrascaita J. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
90+1', Pedraza P. ↓, Pachu ↑,
90+4', Nacif N. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.

Oriente Petrolero has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The Strongest has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The Strongest may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Oriente Petrolero is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oriente Petrolero has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:43 (averaging 1.1:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oriente Petrolero against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42:26	16	45
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40:29	11	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - ABB	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.10.26	Always Ready - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.26	The Strongest - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Real Potosí - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	1:1
18.08.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
Club Friendly
11.03.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	3:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.10.25	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	1:2
02.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	2:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.09.25	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:0

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