The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Potosí 72.4%
Draw 17.1%
Real Tomayapo 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
19%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
18.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Real Potosí - Real Tomayapo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 22. Supayabe F. 2. Rioja J. 4. Villegas K. 35. Vedia C. 77. Rojas J. 8. Cardenas I. 3. Anasgo G. 11. Gomez M. (C) 23. Ali L.
1. Cardenas L. (G) 14. Galvez V. 24. Robles D. 55. Barbieri G. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 25. Cuellar Orti R. 5. Montenegro L. S. 21. Ramallo D. 8. Mamani J. 18. Eguez R. 27. Ruan Costa
Substitutes
30. Alipaz J. 19. Brito A. 10. Castellon V. 12. Condori B. 17. Cuellar D. 90. Gimenez L. 91. Plaza S. 18. Rivas J. 25. Sandy D. (G) 31. Terrazas R. 6. Thomas J. 14. Velasquez E.
22. Adorno C. (G) 50. Alvarez Y. 7. Arabe C. 13. Barbery Gil M. G. 15. Guerra J. 9. Orozco Quiroga J. N. 12. Ribera J. 64. Senzano J. 32. Suarez R.
Coaches
Torres F.
Alfonso J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Ali L. 🟨,
13', Gomez M. 🟨,
26', Velasquez E. 🟨,
28', Fernandez W. 🟥,
32', Anasgo G. 🟥,
32', Rioja J. 🟨,
34', Martinez C. 🟨,
35', Velasquez E. 🟥,
41', Gomez M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ali L. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
47', Ramallo D. 🟨,
54', Ramallo D. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
54', Montenegro L. S. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
65', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↑,
65', Galvez V. ↓, Senzano J. ↑,
69', Rojas J. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
76', Ruan Costa ↓, Barbery Gil M. G. ↑,
80', Bejarano M. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Bejarano M. ⚽, Senzano J. (A),
84', Supayabe F. 🟨,
86', Cardenas I. ↓, Condori B. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Real Potosí is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tomayapo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Potosí has had a series of away games.
In this match, Real Potosí is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Potosí won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Real Potosí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.