Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 18

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guabirá		Real Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.70	3.70	Watch
	1.78	3.60	3.60
	1.58	3.75	4.20	Watch
	1.80	3.97	3.72
	1.73	4.18	4.06	Watch
	1.78	3.90	3.45
	1.79	3.95	3.54	Watch
	1.76	3.65	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
51.9%

Draw
23.7%

Real Potosí
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guabirá - Real Potosí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Guabirá (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guabirá will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrel M. (G) 16. Pablo Melgar 2. Barro J. 21. Portillo M. (C) 29. Masskooni N. 14. Parada J. 91. Abrego V. 88. Ursino L. 15. Rafinha 11. Garzon S. 99. Pedro	1. Martinez C. (G) 17. Cuellar D. 22. Supayabe F. 2. Rioja J. 4. Villegas K. 35. Vedia C. 77. Rojas J. 8. Cardenas I. 6. Thomas J. 11. Gomez M. (C) 18. Rivas J.
Substitutes
13. Arauz J. (G) 28. Baigorria Y. 37. Chavez T. 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 97. Gil S. 40. Lujan P. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 22. Tellez M. 77. Thiago Ribeiro	19. Brito A. 10. Castellon V. 12. Condori B. 41. Igor Soares 91. Plaza S. 25. Sandy D. (G) 44. Severiche S. 31. Terrazas R. 13. Vargas J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Umana D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Vedia C. 🟨,
38', Parada J. 🟨,
45+2', Rojas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Parada J. ↓, Gil S. ↑,
46', Pablo Melgar ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
48', Gil S. 🟨,
59', Abrego V. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
60', Gomez M. ↓, Condori B. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Gil S. ⚽, Portillo M. (A),
71', Rivas J. ↓, Igor Soares ↑,
71', Garzon S. ↓, Thiago Ribeiro ↑,
71', Thomas J. ↓, Castellon V. ↑,
78', Rafinha ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
78', Rojas J. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Castellon V. ⚽, Plaza S. (A),
83', Moreno A. 🟨,
90+1', Barro J. 🟨,
90+1', Supayabe F. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Potosí has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guabirá is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:6. (average 3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Potosi	20	8	8	4	27:14	13	32
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabirá	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
23.08.26	Guabirá - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.08.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWW
- Real Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	Real Potosí - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Aurora - Real Potosí	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.08.26	ABB - Real Potosí	2:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.08.26	Always Ready - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
22.04.26	Real Potosí - Guabirá	3:0
05.12.21	Real Potosí - Guabirá	1:3
09.08.21	Guabirá - Real Potosí	3:0
31.12.20	Guabirá - Real Potosí	4:0
27.11.20	Real Potosí - Guabirá	0:1
30.11.19	Real Potosí - Guabirá	1:0
03.08.19	Guabirá - Real Potosí	0:1

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