The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurora 56.9%
Draw 24%
Real Potosí 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
25.5%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
24.5%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.
Real Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Aurora - Real Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 16. Barro L. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 5. Amarilla A. 7. Vaca H. 23. Huayhuata I. 11. Mojica H. 9. Rangel M. 8. Viviani L.
25. Sandy D. (G) 13. Vargas J. 22. Supayabe F. 44. Severiche S. 14. Velasquez E. 12. Condori B. 21. Fernandez W. 10. Castellon V. (C) 3. Anasgo G. 19. Brito A. 23. Ali L.
Substitutes
18. Ferreira S. 20. Pacheco A. 93. Pierola J. 10. Ramallo R. 19. Sanchez E. 14. Sanchez H. 69. Terrazas A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 70. Torrico J. 28. Vaca O. 22. Velazquez J. 26. Villca D.
30. Alipaz J. 29. Carvajal J. (G) 17. Cuellar D. 90. Gimenez L. 11. Gomez M. 91. Plaza S. 18. Rivas J. 77. Rojas J. 31. Terrazas R. 6. Thomas J. 35. Vedia C. 4. Villegas K.
Coaches
Diaz D.
Umana G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Amarilla A. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castellon V. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Vargas J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
46', Vidaurre I. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
46', Mojica H. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
46', Vaca H. ↓, Ramallo R. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Terrazas A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Huayhuata I. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
74', Anasgo G. 🟨,
77', Velasquez E. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
86', Condori B. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
90+1', Anasgo G. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+12', Rangel M. 🟨,
90+13', Brito A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1.
Aurora is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Potosí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Potosí has had a series of away games.
Aurora might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:8. (average 2.8:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Aurora - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cordano R. (G) 
Barro L. 
Amarilla A. 
Mojica H. 
Plaza S. 
Diaz D. 
