Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Real SC (Queluz)


	Real SC		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	4.07	3.4	1.98
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.74	3.34	1.88	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
25.7%

Draw
28.6%

Alverca
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

29.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Real SC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alverca have a series of home games.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real SC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real SC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
20.11.22	Real SC - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Setúbal - Real SC	3:5 ✺
06.11.22	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Caldas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Dumiense - Real SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
13.11.22	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	4:0 ✺
04.11.22	Alverca - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Setúbal - Alverca	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Alverca - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Alverca - Caldas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.02.22	Alverca - Real SC	2:1
06.11.21	Real SC - Alverca	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.11.19	Alverca - Real SC	0:2

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