Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.73	3.79	5.05
	1.7	3.79	5.06
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.72	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)	4.57 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
54.4%

Draw
25.4%

Oliveira Hospital
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro L. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 17. Costa J. 18. Jesus P. 6. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 2. Ronaldo (C) 20. Salomao D. 19. Silva R. 11. Vitinho 5. Ze Oliveira	14. Kadu (G) 11. Bacem N. 16. Carvalho R. (C) 9. Daffe A. 6. Dougnon G. 2. Gabriel Fornari 8. Grilo P. 7. Isabelinha 20. Lima L. 70. Rivaldo 3. Simao A.
Substitutes
10. Batalha R. 50. Gaspar N. 81. Gomes C. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 23. Iago Oliveira 15. Lucas J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Pinto G. 7. Rodrigues R.	23. David Bras 71. Fernandes L. (G) 79. Lourenco S. 28. Moutinho A. 50. Mucuana Lobo E. J. 4. Nascimento D. 99. Nathan 17. Rianco J. 40. Teles A.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Alverca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira Hospital is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alverca is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
27.10.23	Alverca - Amora	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	1 Dezembro - Alverca	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Atlético CP - Alverca	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Alverca - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLT
- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
29.10.23	1 Dezembro - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	0:3 ✺
01.10.23	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Oliveira Hospital - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.08.23	Oliveira Hospital - Alverca	1:1
18.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Alverca	1:1
04.11.22	Alverca - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
21.01.22	Oliveira Hospital - Alverca	1:2
02.10.21	Alverca - Oliveira Hospital	2:2

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