Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)


	Alverca		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.46	3.16	2.91
	2.32	3.26	3.04
	2.26	3.26	3.01
	2.17	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.16)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)	2.95 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
40.3%

Draw
28.6%

Académica Coimbra
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 17. Costa J. 25. Dias R. 6. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 4. Oliveira A. 16. Pires M. 19. Silva R. 33. Venaque 90. Vitor Bruno 5. Ze Oliveira (C)	98. Alves C. (G) 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 75. Costa D. 33. Gabriel V. 17. Henrique L. 9. Perea J. 20. Resende J. 42. Tavares A. 11. Teles D. (C) 22. Xico
Substitutes
44. Gomes C. 28. Hachadi K. 21. Harramiz S. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 18. Jesus P. 15. Lucas J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Pinto G. 95. Sagna P.	2. Costa D. 16. Gomes V. 10. Lourenco F. 91. Santos B. (G) 77. Seco H. 79. Silva J. 19. Veiga T. 21. Victor J. 12. Vitinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tavares A. ↓, Lourenco F. ↑,
46', Resende J. ↓, Seco H. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
51', Dias R. 🟨,
64', Pires M. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
64', Silva R. ↓, Sagna P. ↑,
68', Teles D. 🟨,
73', Martins D. ↓, Lucas J. ↑,
73', Vitor Bruno ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
77', Perea J. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Henrique L. (Pen),
87', Xico ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
87', Gabriel V. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
88', Oliveira A. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', Costa J. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).

Alverca is Qualified for Liga Portugal 2

Alverca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Académica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Académica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alverca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
05.05.24	Covilhã - Alverca	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Alverca - Varzim	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	0:4 ✺
06.04.24	Alverca - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	0:0
12.11.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	2:0
12.08.23	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	1:2
25.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	1:2
13.11.22	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	4:0

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