The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real SC 59.4%
Draw 24.1%
União de Santarém 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
22.6%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.5%
18.9%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
Recent matches Real SC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
União de Santarém is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
União de Santarém could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Real SC is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Real SC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.