Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Rio Tinto Stadium (Sandy)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)


	Real Salt Lake		Charlotte

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	1.97	3.75	3.45
	2.03	3.86	3.61
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.68	3.56	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)	3.63 ↓ (3.83)	3.54 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
47.4%

Draw
26%

Charlotte
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

24.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Real Salt Lake - Charlotte Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Charlotte will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).

Salt Lake has the most likely position - 14 (31%), project points - 34, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (23%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Charlotte has the most likely position - 15 (13.98%), project points - 40, currently - 5, a chance of playoffs (34%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, small importance 19, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Salt Lake is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charlotte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salt Lake will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Farnsworth Z. (Injury) Hidalgo B. (Injury) Holt E. (Injury) Kei A. (Injury) Oviedo B. (Injury)

There will not play in Charlotte: Corujo G. (Knee Injury) Kahlina K. (Injury) Westwood A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
01.04.23	Columbus Crew - Real Salt Lake	4:0 ✺
25.03.23	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	0:4 ✺
11.03.23	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Charlotte FC
MLS
01.04.23	Toronto FC - Charlotte	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Orlando City - Charlotte	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:3 ✺
04.03.23	St. Louis City - Charlotte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLL

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