Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	Real Salt Lake		Los Angeles Galaxy

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.4
	1.68	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4.13	4.89	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	1.65	4.45	4.59	Watch
	1.68	4.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.04)	4.03 ↑ (3.78)	4.42 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
54.5%

Draw
23.8%

Los Angeles Galaxy
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Salt Lake (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - LA Galaxy (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Salt Lake will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 5 - 83.3%). LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (G) 19. Hidalgo B. 4. Vera B. 15. Glad J. 98. Katranis A. 14. Eneli E. 6. Ojeda B. 11. Marczuk D. 8. Luna D. 10. Goncalves D. 23. Piol A.	77. McCarthy J. (G) 26. Miller H. 5. Zanka 25. Garces C. 3. Aude J. 21. Lepley T. 24. Ramos R. 6. Cerrillo E. 7. Fagundez D. 27. Berry M. 28. Paintsil J.
Substitutes
36. Barea J. 17. Brook L. 72. Gozo Z. 29. Junqua S. 13. Palacio N. 26. Quinton P. 7. Ruiz P. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 16. Wolff T.	51. Essengue A. 9. Matheus Nascimento 1. Micovic N. (G) 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ramirez C. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M. 15. Zavaleta E.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Vanney G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Vera B. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Katranis A. (A), Goncalves D. (A2)
26', 2 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos R. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
46', Cerrillo E. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
59', Paintsil J. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
59', Fagundez D. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
69', Goncalves D. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
70', Katranis A. 🟨,
72', Lepley T. 🟨,
74', Marczuk D. 🟨,
75', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
78', Marczuk D. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
78', Piol A. ↓, Gozo Z. ↑,
84', Katranis A. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
89', Zanka 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

LA Galaxy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Salt Lake will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Cuevas M. (Hamstring Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury) Reus M. (Knee Injury) Sanabria L. (Broken collarbone)

There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Yoshida M. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 36:31 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Salt Lake won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
29.03.25	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Los Angeles Galaxy
CONCACAF Champions Cup
01.04.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
MLS
29.03.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Herediano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.06.24	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:1
11.05.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:2
14.10.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:2
US Open Cup
07.06.23	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:2
MLS
31.05.23	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:3
01.10.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	1:1
30.04.22	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0

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