Match Info

MLS

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Real Salt Lake		San Diego

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.75	5	Watch
	1.58	4.7	4.95	Watch
	1.59	4.84	5.13
	1.55	4.84	4.96	Watch
	1.53	4.33	4.6
	1.59	4.73	5.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.07)	4.7 ↑ (3.8)	4.98 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
60.8%

Draw
20.2%

San Diego
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

24.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Real Salt Lake - San Diego Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 66.7%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Salt Lake (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Salt Lake will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 3 - 75%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (C) 72. Gozo Z. 2. Yedlin D. 15. Glad J. 4. Engel L. 98. Katranis A. 10. Luna D. 92. Caliskan N. 6. Spierings S. 9. Guilavogui M. 22. Solans S.	18. Ferree D. (G) 21. Duke B. 17. Soe O. 26. Duah M. 33. Verhoeven O. 20. Godoy A. 8. Valakari O. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 9. Morgan L.
Substitutes
23. Booth Z. 27. Dillon G. 39. Hezarkhani A. 29. Junqua S. 11. Marczuk D. 17. Olatunji V. 7. Ruiz P. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)	24. Boateng E. 1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 77. Mighten A. 90. Pellegrino A. 29. Saidi A. 15. Soma P. 19. Vazquez D. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Solans S. ⚽, Luna D. (A), Guilavogui M. (A2)
14', 2 - 1, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Morgan L. (A),
37', 3 - 1, Solans S. ⚽, Gozo Z. (A), Yedlin D. (A2)
45', 4 - 1, Guilavogui M. ⚽, Solans S. (A), Luna D. (A2)
45+5', Duke B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Godoy A. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
46', Duke B. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
52', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
65', 4 - 2, Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Valakari O. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
68', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,
71', Luna D. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
71', Yedlin D. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
78', Solans S. ↓, Olatunji V. ↑,
78', Spierings S. ↓, Dillon G. ↑,
82', Guilavogui M. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
84', Morgan L. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Salt Lake has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Diego is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Salt Lake is the team to beat.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Eneli E. (Knee Injury) Hezarkhani A. (Groin Injury) Piol A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sanabria J. (Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) McVey C. (Red Card) Pellegrino A. (Lower-Body Injury) Pilcher I. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury) Sargeant K. (Lower-Body Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Arias J. J. (Groin Injury) Booth Z. (Knee Injury) Henry K. (Muscle Injury) Yedlin D. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Salt Lake will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
04.04.26	Real Salt Lake - Sporting Kansas City	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlanta United - Real Salt Lake	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWWW
- San Diego FC
MLS
11.04.26	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Toluca - San Diego	4:0 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	FC Dallas - San Diego	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2
26.04.25	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	1:3
08.03.25	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	1:3

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