Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Real San Andrés		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.05	3.05	2.28
	3.55	2.9	2.1
	3.49	2.97	2.37
	3.3	2.88	2.35
	3.15	3.02	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (4.88)	3 ↓ (3.24)	2.27 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Andrés
28.7%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Pasto
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

28%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

15.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Andrés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real San Andrés's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pasto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Andrés than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	11.1%	7.4%

Real San Andrés - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Real San Andrés will win (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real San Andrés: 66.9% – 96.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Real San Andrés is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real San Andrés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Pasto is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Andrés
Colombian Primera B
14.11.20	Unión Magdalena - Real San Andrés	1:0 ✺
09.11.20	Real San Andrés - Unión Magdalena	0:0 ✺
02.11.20	Real San Andrés - Leones	0:3 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.10.20	Real San Andrés - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
24.10.20	Fortaleza - Real San Andrés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
22.11.20	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	Canceled ✺
12.11.20	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WT?WL

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