The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pasto 43.6%
Draw 31.8%
Independiente Santa Fe 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
30.5%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
30.2%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Deportivo Pasto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Santa Fe (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Pasto will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 6. Caicedo J. 23. Goez Y. 7. Perlaza J. 32. Pisano M. 16. Gil M. 11. Estupinan A.
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 7. Torres J. 8. Fernandez O. 9. Fagundez F. 14. Palacios L. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
Substitutes
17. Bernal J. 29. Cordoba S. 27. Goyes H. 30. Guerrero D. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 15. Mancilla H. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 22. Tolosa Y. 26. Valencia H.
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 2. Juan Quintero 77. Obrian J. 40. Palacios M. 16. Torres D. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Risueno J.
Repetto P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gil M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
46', Torres J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
62', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
65', Torijano F. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽,
71', Perlaza J. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
73', Fagundez F. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
77', Pisano M. 🟨,
77', Pisano M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
79', Garavito M. 🟨,
86', Fernandez O. ↓, Juan Quintero ↑,
86', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Cordoba S. ⚽, Bernal J. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
Deportivo Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
Deportivo Pasto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Pasto could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
18
Dep. Pasto
12
2
3
7
9:18
-9
9
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Banguera G. (G) 
Pisano M. 
Gil M. 
Fagundez F. 
Bernal J. 
Herrerin I. (G) 
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