Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Fortaleza		Real San Andrés

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.68	2.95	5.5
	1.68	3.2	5
	1.74	3.26	6.05
	1.73	3	5.25
	1.71	3.13	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	3.09 ↑ (2.91)	5.33 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
53.2%

Draw
29.6%

Real San Andrés
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

31.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

18.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Real San Andrés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Andrés than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real San Andrés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza - Real San Andrés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Real San Andrés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.10.20	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.20	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.10.20	Cartagena - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.10.20	Fortaleza - São Paulo	3:3 ✺
Colombian Primera B
12.10.20	Fortaleza - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTW
- Real San Andrés
Colombian Copa
21.10.20	Boyacá Chicó - Real San Andrés	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.10.20	Real San Andrés - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Real San Andrés - Tigres	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Cartagena - Real San Andrés	2:3 ✺
04.10.20	Boca Juniors - Real San Andrés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.09.19	Fortaleza - Real San Andrés	3:0
24.03.19	Real San Andrés - Fortaleza	2:2

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