Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín (Santiago de Chile)


	Real San Joaquín		General Velásquez

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.15	2.75
	2.41	3.2	2.8
	2.4	3.23	2.77	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.74
	2.38	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.16)	3.17 ↑ (3)	2.76 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
38.2%

Draw
28.8%

General Velásquez
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

General Velásquez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting General Velásquez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for General Velásquez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes B. (G) 9. Barahona F. 15. Cabrera V. 14. Duarte J. 8. Maulen J. 4. Munoz D. 6. Munoz I. 17. Perez L. 20. Pino T. 19. Reyes F. 16. Ugarte J.	22. Abarca F. (G) 9. Arriaza C. 5. Carrasco J. 11. Diaz Garcia N. 18. Droguett J. 3. Gonzalez C. (C) 26. Herrera J. 7. Lopes J. 6. Quezada M. 19. Salas Pizarro D. E. 14. Sotomayor J.
Substitutes
2. Araya V. 10. Carvajal M. . Delus A. 11. Duran F. 12. Hartard E. (G) 18. Marquez B. 23. Millares J.	20. Campos B. 13. Castillo H. 17. Cataldo I. 12. Lecaros C. (G) 23. Leguizamon L. 27. Silva M. 10. Troncoso P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sotomayor J. ↓, Campos B. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Perez L. ⚽,
45', Quezada M. 🟨,
45+1', Cabrera V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Reyes B. 🟨,
54', Munoz I. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽,
58', Lopes J. ↓, Cataldo I. ↑,
60', Diaz Garcia N. 🟨,
66', Ugarte J. ↓, Duran F. ↑,
66', Barahona F. ↓, Delus A. ↑,
71', Herrera J. ↓, Troncoso P. ↑,
71', Droguett J. ↓, Leguizamon L. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Troncoso P. ⚽,
74', Carrasco J. 🟨,
75', Munoz I. 🟥,
80', Perez L. ↓, Carvajal M. ↑,
89', Maulen J. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
90+1', Cataldo I. 🟨,
90+9', Millares J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

General Velásquez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real San Joaquín might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Real San Joaquín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
18.05.25	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín	5:0 ✺
04.05.25	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real San Joaquín - Brujas Salamanca	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Deportes Rengo - Real San Joaquín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWL
- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
04.05.25	Brujas Salamanca - General Velásquez	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Linares	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
14.07.24	Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez	1:1
03.03.24	General Velásquez - Real San Joaquín	1:1
14.10.23	Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez	2:0
04.06.23	General Velásquez - Real San Joaquín	1:1
09.07.22	Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez	2:1
03.04.22	General Velásquez - Real San Joaquín	0:1

Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide