Match Info

Liga Women - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alvaro Gomez Hurtado (Floridablanca)


	Real Santander		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.68
	2.61	3	2.76
	2.59	2.87	2.79	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.47	2.98	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.61)	2.9 ↑ (2.87)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
35.7%

Draw
31.2%

Once Caldas
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Once Caldas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Real Santander - Once Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Acosta A. (G) 20. Rodriguez M. 10. Garcia S. 16. Castro P. 11. Antero N. 6. Grajales W. 18. Cano D. 23. Colmenares M. 19. Carreno L. 9. Caile Y. (C) 22. Valero D.	22. Roman C. (G) 19. Ramirez M. 3. Zapata M. 23. Angulo E. 24. Valencia A. 20. Guzman M. 8. Valencia D. 6. Orozco D. 17. Renteria K. 5. Ruiz N. 10. Franco V.
Substitutes
24. Aroca V. (G) 8. Badillo V. 15. Diaz N. 21. Insuasty L. 17. Parra E. 5. Toloza L.	9. Amaya A. 1. Castro A. (G) 7. Contreras K. 14. Pastrana N. 21. Ramirez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orozco D. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
46', Valero D. ↓, Insuasty L. ↑,
60', Cano D. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Renteria K. ↓, Pastrana N. ↑,
71', Pastrana N. 🟨,
79', Franco V. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
79', Guzman M. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
81', Grajales W. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
90+2', Caile Y. ↓, Badillo V. ↑,
90+2', Castro P. ↓, Parra E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

Real Santander is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander Women
Colombian Liga Women
23.05.26	Millonarios - Real Santander	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Cali - Real Santander	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Real Santander - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 TTLLL
- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
22.05.26	Once Caldas - Llaneros	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Once Caldas - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Real Santander	2:0

Real Santander - Once Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide