Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)


	Once Caldas		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.1	1.82
	4.44	3.19	1.96
	4.27	3.19	1.84	Watch
	4	2.9	1.85
	4.34	3.2	1.79	Watch
	3.95	3.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.95)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
21.7%

Draw
28.8%

Orsomarso
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Once Caldas - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roman C. (G) 15. Ramirez M. 3. Zapata M. 23. Angulo E. 24. Valencia A. 20. Guzman M. 6. Orozco D. 8. Valencia D. 14. Pastrana N. 5. Ruiz N. 17. Renteria K.	12. Duque M. (G) 18. Hernandez H. 2. Iglesias A. (C) 3. Ramos T. 17. Acevedo L. 25. Aguilar M. 23. Goyes V. 14. Rivera T. 15. Sanchez A. 7. Asprilla F. 24. Lasso Sanchez B.
Substitutes
18. Aristizsbal P. 19. Arroyo E. 25. Castano M. 1. Castro A. (G) 7. Contreras K. 10. Franco V. 2. Montoya S. 21. Ramirez A. 16. Trejos V.	1. Agamez D. (G) 20. Cassiani Y. 8. Garcia H. 9. Macias P. 19. Sandoval A. 6. Tenorio K. 4. Vergara M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Asprilla F. 🟨,
24', Rivera T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Ramirez M. ⚽, Orozco D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rivera T. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
46', Asprilla F. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
53', Zapata M. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Garcia H. ⚽,
64', Sanchez A. ↓, Sandoval A. ↑,
69', Guzman M. ↓, Franco V. ↑,
75', Renteria K. ↓, Arroyo E. ↑,
80', Acevedo L. 🟨,
82', Acevedo L. ↓, Tenorio K. ↑,
89', Orozco D. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
90', Garcia H. ↓, Vergara M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

Once Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orsomarso is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orsomarso has had a series of home games.

In this match, Orsomarso is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
04.05.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Once Caldas - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.26	Orsomarso - Inter Palmira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Orsomarso - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Orsomarso - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
20.04.25	Orsomarso - Once Caldas	3:0

Once Caldas - Orsomarso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide