The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad B 32.8%
Draw 29.1%
Ponferradina 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
27.4%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
28.5%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Fraga A. (G) 24. Beitia L. 3. Balda J. 15. Rodriguez P. 21. Merino J. 35. Carrera G. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 19. Marchal A. 40. Astiazaran L.
1. Prieto A. (G) 5. Lancho J. 4. Sibille K. 19. Lopez A. 17. Carrique T. 21. Cortes J. 22. Esquerdo V. 16. Lozano M. (C) 15. Bustos A. 12. Ferrer P. 9. Cabanzon Y.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 18. Garcia E. 37. Garro J. 16. Gibelalde M. 44. Gorosabel G. 6. Lebarbier A. 9. Orobengoa E. 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 11. Mula A. 18. Ramon A. 10. Valle B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Prieto A. (Own goal),
19', 2 - 0, Astiazaran L. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Lancho J. ⚽,
43', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
44', Sibille K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, Bustos A. ⚽,
62', Rodriguez M. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
63', Merino J. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
65', Ferrer P. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
72', Sibille K. ↓, Andujar D. ↑,
72', Lopez A. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
72', Cortes J. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
76', Astiazaran L. ↓, Orobengoa E. ↑,
78', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Garcia E. ⚽,
83', Lancho J. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
84', Carbonell T. 🟨,
86', Cabanzon Y. 🟨,
86', Marchal A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
86', Carbonell T. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+3', Carrera G. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Spain
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Fraga A. (G) 
Sibille K. 
Carrique T. 
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