Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Sociedad B		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.65	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.72	2.92	2.68	Watch
	2.86	3	2.77
	2.87	2.91	2.77	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.7
	2.82	3.03	2.72	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.77)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
33.6%

Draw
31.9%

Ceuta
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Real Sociedad B - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Ceuta will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 8. Rodriguez M. 31. Aguirre I. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 19. Marchal A.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 8. Zalazar K. 5. Youness 19. Jamelli 7. Ahmed A. 12. Obeng S. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 37. Calderon I. 14. Carbonell T. 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 7. Diaz D. 32. Folgado T. (G) 16. Gorosabel G. 33. Gorosabel J. 11. Ochieng J. 39. Unax A.	17. Almenara G. 14. Bodiger Y. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 11. Ortuno J. 28. Peri (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 25. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Marchal A. ⚽, Mariezkurrena A. (A),
15', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
40', Kita K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Kone K. ⚽, Youness (A),
55', Ahmed A. 🟨,
58', Eceizabarrena J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
59', Marchal A. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
61', Ochieng J. 🟨,
67', Matos Jose 🟨,
69', Aguirre I. 🟨,
70', 1 - 3, Jamelli (Penalty Awarded),
73', Zalazar K. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
74', Balda J. 🟨,
76', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Gorosabel J. ↑,
78', Obeng S. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
79', Ahmed A. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
81', Youness 🟨,
82', Garro J. ↓, Dadie Izagirre A. ↑,
89', Hernandez C. 🟨,
90', Jamelli 🟨,
90+1', Matos Jose ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
90+2', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Carrera G. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Fernandez Sanchez M. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez M. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
10.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWLLW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Granada - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTLWW

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