Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Granada		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.39	4.05
	2.02	3.21	3.88	Watch
	2	3.1	3.75
	2.06	3.4	3.83	Watch
	2	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)	3.82 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
46.9%

Draw
28.5%

Ceuta
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Granada - Ceuta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Granada will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 28. Oppong O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 8. Aleman P. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Hernandez C. 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 14. Bodiger Y. 10. Rodriguez C. 18. de la Fuente K. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 2. Casadesus P. 23. Gagnidze L. 34. Garcia I. (G) 3. Hormigo D. 26. Rodelas S. 14. Trigueros M.	17. Almenara G. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 20. Escudero A. 30. Josema 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 11. Ortuno J. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 25. Sanchez S. 5. Youness 8. Zalazar K.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Aleman P. ⚽, Faye S. (A),
34', Aleman P. 🟨,
39', Oppong O. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Oppong O. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
62', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
69', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
74', Alcaraz R. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
79', de la Fuente K. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
83', Aleman P. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
83', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
87', Jamelli ↓, Youness ↑,
90+3', Ahmed A. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez C. ↓, Josema ↑,
90+3', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).

Granada is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceuta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Granada will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Hongla M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Yellow Cards) Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury) Youness (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Tenerife - Granada	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Granada - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTTW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL

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