Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	CD Guadalajara		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.91	Watch
	3.95	3.45	1.95
	3.8	3.39	1.97
	3.61	3.55	1.98	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.06	3.38	2.03	Watch
	4	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)	1.96 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
23.9%

Draw
28.2%

Ceuta
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

CD Guadalajara - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 50%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 27. Mayo N. 4. Ablanque J. 15. Rodriguez V. 23. Casado J. 6. Rojo P. 8. Calvo T. 20. Diaz B. 21. Ramirez M. 19. Munoz P. 9. Canizo A.	1. Lopez P. (G) 17. Almenara G. 4. Caparros A. 24. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 14. Bodiger Y. 8. Zalazar K. 20. Escudero A. 10. Rodriguez C. 21. Vallejo M. 11. Ortuno J.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 10. Amigo D. 24. Caropitche S. M. 16. Cera 3. Moreno A. 7. Neskes 22. Samuel 14. Tavares R. 29. Verdu M. 1. Zarco A. (G)	7. Ahmed A. 23. Anuar 18. de la Fuente K. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 15. Gonzalez D. 19. Jamelli 30. Josema 22. Kone K. 3. Matos Jose 12. Obeng S. 13. Vallejo G. (G)
Coaches
Marti P.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Canizo A. ⚽, Ablanque J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Zalazar K. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
61', Escudero A. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
61', Vallejo M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
65', Ramirez M. ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
65', Diaz B. ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
65', Munoz P. ↓, Cera ↑,
76', Bodiger Y. ↓, Anuar ↑,
76', Ortuno J. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
78', Calvo T. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
88', Mayo N. ↓, Neskes ↑,

Preview

Guadalajara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ceuta is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Lugo	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	CD Guadalajara - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Córdoba - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL

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