Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Sociedad B		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.59	2.38
	2.95	3.46	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.99	3.58	2.34	Watch
	2.03	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.05)	3.47 ↓ (3.61)	2.46 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
33.8%

Draw
27.5%

Mirandés
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirandés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Real Sociedad B - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Mirandés will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. (C) 15. Kita K. 23. Agote U. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 6. Lebarbier A. 16. Gorosabel G. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 19. Marchal A.	13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 29. Houary A. 6. Helguera T. 18. Bauza R. 30. El Jebari S. 48. del Cura U. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 42. Arana P. 37. Calderon I. 18. Carrera G. 7. Diaz D. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 29. Garro J. 33. Gorosabel J. 45. Olasagasti L. (G) 34. Oleaga J. 26. Ramirez D. 39. Unax A.	24. Cordoba I. 11. Malsa M. 42. Martinez Landa J. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 17. Perez P. 21. Postigo S. 20. Sia D. 27. Tamarit T.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Muneta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
11', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Medrano F. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Beitia L. ⚽, Marchal A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Bauza R. ⚽, Novoa Ramos H. (A),
54', Novoa Ramos H. 🟨,
57', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
61', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Carrera G. ↑,
61', Marchal A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
61', Beitia L. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
67', Lebarbier A. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
71', Houary A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
81', El Jebari S. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
81', del Cura U. ↓, Malsa M. ↑,
82', Gorosabel G. ↓, Gorosabel J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽, Dadie Izagirre A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Mirandés: Balde S. (Injury) Clua S. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Yellow Cards) Mari A. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.26	Huesca - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
29.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.26	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.26	Mirandés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Almería - Mirandés	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mirandés - Castellón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:3
13.12.21	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.19	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:1
16.12.18	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	0:1
21.04.18	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	0:1

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