Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
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	Real Sociedad B		Burgos

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.98	3.05	2.42	Watch
	3.18	3.1	2.57
	3.07	3.08	2.48	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	3.11	3.13	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.71)	3.05 ↓ (3.26)	2.47 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
31.2%

Draw
30.7%

Burgos
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Real Sociedad B - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Burgos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Burgos (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 17. Astiazaran L. 8. Rodriguez M. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Carrera G.	13. Cantero A. (G) 15. Bunuel A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 7. Diaz D. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 16. Gorosabel G. 6. Lebarbier A. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 26. Ramirez D. 39. Unax A.	10. Appin K. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 37. Monedero M. (G) 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Aguirre I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
55', Cordoba I. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
69', Aguirre I. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
69', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
72', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
72', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
80', Carbonell T. 🟨,
83', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
83', Astiazaran L. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
86', Galdames P. 🟨,
88', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
90+1', Balda J. ↓, Agote U. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1.

Real Sociedad B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
18	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad B - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.85%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Burgos - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
English Premier League International Cup
29.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.26	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.26	Burgos - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Burgos - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0
13.03.22	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:0
05.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.01.20	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:2
24.08.19	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	1:1
11.02.18	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:0

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