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Current Win Probability
Valladolid 61.6%
Draw 22.8%
Real Sociedad B 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
23.1%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
19.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Valladolid - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 21. Ponceau J. 24. Juric S. (C) 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 10. Marcos Andre
13. Arana E. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 39. Unax A. 3. Balda J. (C) 23. Agote U. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
40. Chinedu B. 13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 9. Latasa J. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 2. Michelin C. 30. Modesto H. 11. Ndiaye A. 19. Sanseviero L. 15. Tomeo P.
37. Calderon I. 7. Diaz D. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 16. Gorosabel G. 33. Gorosabel J. 6. Lebarbier A. 34. Oleaga J. 26. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 36. Segurola A.
Coaches
Escriba F.
Ansotegi I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Juric S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez R. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
58', Chuki ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
58', Peter Federico ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
67', Marchal A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
67', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
71', Marcos Andre ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
76', Astiazaran L. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
77', Juric S. ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
84', Agote U. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
84', Dadie Izagirre A. ↓, Calderon I. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Sanseviero L. ⚽, Biuk S. (A),
89', Carrera G. 🟨,
90+4', Lachuer M. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 16)
Valladolid is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Sociedad B is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Valladolid is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G.
(Knee Injury)
Canos S.
(Injury)
Ndiaye A.
(Personal Reasons)
There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Kita K.
(Yellow Cards)
Orobengoa E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Lebarbier A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.