Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Real Sociedad C		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.65	5.9
	1.5	3.85	6.22
	1.51	3.81	6.18	Watch
	1.47	3.75	6.47
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	6.15 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad C
60.9%

Draw
24.2%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Aurrerá de Vitoria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Real Sociedad C is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Leioa - Real Sociedad C	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Añorga	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Durango - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Sociedad C - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWW
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C	0:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Real Sociedad C	1:2

Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide