Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Martinez (Tocoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Real Sociedad Tocoa		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.32	3.85
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.75
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.6)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	3.7 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad Tocoa
47.5%

Draw
27.9%

Juticalpa
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad Tocoa's performance.

Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juticalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad Tocoa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Sociedad Tocoa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Juticalpa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roa A. (G) 16. Jones A. 22. Gonzalez O. 26. Bernardez R. 2. Martinez D. 6. Martinez A. N. 15. Dominguez J. 32. Monico D. 9. Martinez G. 11. Martinez R. (C) 28. Asprilla L.	1. Torres D. (C) 24. Gomez N. 10. Dantaz Paredes P. M. 30. Bernardez K. 14. Alvarado C. 31. Crisanto L. 4. Matute K. 6. Melendez L. 20. Gonzalez R. 9. Benitez R. 19. De Olivera R.
Substitutes
23. Delgado E. 10. Dolmo Y. 4. Enamorado N. 13. Felix B. 12. Flores M. 17. Funes A. 20. Gotay P. 5. Moreno B. 18. Quioto D. 3. Ramirez W. 7. Reyes D. 27. Reyes F. (G)	23. Facusse E. (G) 21. Garrido L. 13. Gonzalez S. 35. Guillen C. 16. Guity E. 11. Mendez E. 25. Mendoza D. 8. Tinoco G. 32. Ucles J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Dantaz Paredes P. M. 🟨,
36', Martinez R. 🟨,
37', Gomez N. 🟨,
45+1', Bernardez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Alvarado C. 🟨,
62', Martinez A. N. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 8).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Real Sociedad Tocoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Sociedad Tocoa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Génesis PN - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:4 ✺
02.02.25	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTLT
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
26.02.25	Juticalpa - Real España	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Juticalpa - Motagua	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
05.10.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa	1:1
04.08.24	Juticalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1

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