Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Victoria La Ceiba		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.65	3.65
	1.72	4.08	4.12	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.66	3.78	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	4.01 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
53.3%

Draw
24.1%

Juticalpa
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. 48. Card S. 25. Chavez B. 20. Espinal M. 33. Garcia J. 52. Hernandez A. 19. Lahera Y. 4. Oliva E. 38. Ramirez L. 24. Sanchez J.	35. Facusse E. (G) 14. Altamirano C. 7. Fajardo A. 15. Gaboriell N. 33. Galindo A. 6. Garcia J. 28. Gomez A. 16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 4. Matute K. 25. Mendoza D. 9. Villafranca J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ramirez L. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
46', Hernandez A. ↓, Sevilla L. ↑,
46', Espinal M. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
51', Oliva E. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Matute K. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Portillo A. ⚽,
55', Kelly K. 🟨,
60', Garcia J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
60', Gaboriell N. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
69', Chavez B. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
72', Altamirano C. ↓, Ilan ↑,
75', Lacayo J. 🟨,
77', Fajardo A. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
77', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
83', Kelly K. ↓, Suazo O. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2.

Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juticalpa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Victoria La Ceiba is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.04.26	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua	1:1
13.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	2:5 ✺
08.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLLW
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.04.26	Motagua - Juticalpa	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Juticalpa - Platense	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Juticalpa - Olancho	0:4 ✺
06.04.26	Real España - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
26.11.25	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:4
13.09.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	2:3
08.04.25	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:2
09.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	0:1
27.10.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	4:0
17.08.24	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0

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