Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Real Titánico		Luarca

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.4
	1.62	3.57	4.57
	1.63	3.57	4.57
	1.64	3.62	4.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	3.57 ↑ (3.33)	4.58 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Titánico
55.1%

Draw
25.2%

Luarca
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Titánico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Titánico's performance.

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Titánico than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Titánico that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
79', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Recent matches Titánico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luarca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Titánico is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Titánico won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Titánico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Titánico
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
17.03.24	Avilés Stadium - Real Titánico	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Real Titánico - Llanera	0:5 ✺
03.03.24	Praviano - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Real Titánico - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gijón Industrial - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTLT
- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
17.03.24	Luarca - Barcia	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	LEntregu - Luarca	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Luarca - Caudal Deportivo	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Llanes - Luarca	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ceares - Luarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.11.23	Luarca - Real Titánico	4:1
26.02.23	Real Titánico - Luarca	0:0
23.10.22	Luarca - Real Titánico	1:0
23.01.22	Luarca - Real Titánico	1:1

Real Titánico - Luarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide