Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Luarca		Barcia

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.79	5.68
	1.5	3.79	5.68
	1.46	3.98	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	3.84 ↑ (3.57)	5.78 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luarca
60.9%

Draw
23.5%

Barcia
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Barcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Luarca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luarca is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luarca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	LEntregu - Luarca	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Luarca - Caudal Deportivo	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Llanes - Luarca	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ceares - Luarca	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Luarca - Avilés Stadium	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL
- Barcia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.03.24	Barcia - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Llanera - Barcia	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lealtad - Barcia	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Barcia - Gijón Industrial	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Lenense - Barcia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	Barcia - Luarca	1:3

Luarca - Barcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide