Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Real Tomayapo		GVCD San José

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.71	3.6	3.8
	1.7	3.8	4.1
	1.81	3.78	4.13
	1.08	10.07	22.72	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.86	3.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)	4.66 ↑ (3.95)	6.66 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
62.4%

Draw
22.1%

GVCD San José
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Tomayapo's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Tomayapo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Tomayapo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Tomayapo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	25. Rivas R. (G)
	16. Arismendi F.
	21. Bejarano J.
	10. Galindo S.
	33. Landa A.
	2. Ramallo J.
	22. Roca D.
	5. Seimandi A.
	40. Vargas J.
	30. Vasquez F.
	15. Villamil S.
Substitutes
	4. Alarcon F.
	23. Aponte D.
	27. Ceceri K.
	8. Escobar M.
	28. Pena S.
	1. Poveda B. (G)
	12. Ribera J.
	17. Roca F.
	26. Saavedra D.
	39. Tapia G.
	55. Vargas D.
	3. Villamil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lima R. ⚽,
14', Vera L. 🟨,
25', Bejarano J. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Gatti F. ⚽, Bejarano M. (A),
45+3', Lima R. 🟥,
45+7', Castillo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Landa A. ↓, Ceceri K. ↑,
46', Vasquez F. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
51', Gatti F. 🟨,
53', Perea D. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
68', Pena S. ↓, Escobar M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Roca D. ⚽,
72', Gatti F. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
82', Villamil S. 🟨,
85', Seimandi A. ↓, Villamil J. ↑,
89', Perez D. 🟨,
89', Perez D. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
90+1', Bejarano J. ↓, Roca F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

GVCD San José is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tomayapo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tomayapo is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.07.25	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	3:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.07.25	Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.07.25	Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.07.25	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	6:0 ✺
05.07.25	Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTLT
- GVCD San José
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.07.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - GVCD San José	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.07.25	Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José	4:0 ✺
13.07.25	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.07.25	GVCD San José - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.07.25	GVCD San José - Oriente Petrolero	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
30.03.25	GVCD San José - Real Tomayapo	3:1
24.09.24	GVCD San José - Real Tomayapo	5:0
10.05.24	Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José	2:0

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