The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Tomayapo 53.2%
Draw 24.7%
GVCD San José 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
25%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
23.7%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Tomayapo's performance.
GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Tomayapo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cardenas L. (G) 19. Robson 24. Robles D. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 14. Galvez V. 27. Ruan Costa 12. Ribera J. 7. Arabe C. 8. Mamani J. 6. Melgar V. 18. Eguez R.
25. Rivas R. (G) 17. Quispe E. 26. Lencinas J. (C) 20. Aguilar F. 4. Vaca G. 2. Ramallo J. 38. Vargas L. 55. Goyeneche J. 11. Matheus Moresche 37. Cruz Valverde L. R. 9. Monteiro R.
Substitutes
70. Aguirre B. 50. Alvarez Y. 55. Barbieri G. 99. Cervantes A. 36. Chavez J. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 15. Guerra J. 5. Montenegro L. S. 11. Nouet F. 9. Orozco Quiroga J. N. 32. Suarez R. 28. Wayar D.
66. Akologo D. (G) 29. Galindo S. 36. Justiniano G. 8. Orihuela R. 18. Pinto S. 21. Valdez S. 30. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Alfonso J.
Costa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Vargas L. 🟨,
45+1', Matheus Moresche 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Robles D. ⚽, Bejarano M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ribera J. ↓, Montenegro L. S. ↑,
47', Costa A. 🟨,
52', Matheus Moresche ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
64', Cardenas L. 🟨,
67', Galvez V. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
68', Eguez R. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
68', Arabe C. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
70', Quispe E. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
78', Ruan Costa ↓, Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↑,
87', Vaca G. ↓, Pinto S. ↑,
87', Cruz Valverde L. R. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
90+1', Aguilar F. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th in the Division Profesional (Relegation)).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tomayapo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Tomayapo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tomayapo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1.4:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tomayapo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).